US coronavirus death toll could reach 731,000 by April if states ease mandates but up to 45,000 lives could be saved by vaccine rollout, IHME predictions show, as a record 120,000 patients face Christmas in hospital


  • New projections from a leading coronavirus model predict up to 731,000 Americans could die of COVID-19 by April 1 if states begin to ease mandates and a vaccine isn’t rolled out as planned 
  • But more than 45,000 lives could be saved if the vaccine is distributed faster than planned and there could be 49,000 fewer deaths from the virus with universal mask-wearing 
  • The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation said the nation’s mask-wearing is now at 74 percent
  • With a vaccine rollout and continued mandates, the IHME still projects a death toll of 567,195 by April 1
  • Nationwide spike appears to be falling, with a decline in new cases and hospitalizations in the Midwest
  • Yet the country still managed to break a new record for hospitalizations on Christmas Eve 
  • More than 120,000 Americans with COVID-19 are now spending Christmas in hospital
  • More than 18.6million Americans have been infected with COVID-19 and there have been 329,022 deaths

By FRANCES MULRANEY FOR DAILYMAIL.COM

New projections from a leading coronavirus model predict that up to 731,000 Americans could die of COVID-19 by April 1 if states begin to lift their mandates around masks and social distancing.

The University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) released its latest projections for COVID-19 deaths, showing that the death toll could reach 731,151 without a vaccine rollout and other health measures.

But more than 33,000 lives could be saved if the vaccine is distributed as planned, and 45,000 Americans saved if a swifter vaccine rollout is achieved.

DAILYMAILONLINE

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